1,Kukula kofulumira kwa epoxy propane industry scale

Epoxy propane, monga njira yokulirapo yamankhwala abwino otsika mumchenga wamakampani a propylene, yalandira chidwi chomwe sichinachitikepo m'makampani aku China. Izi makamaka chifukwa cha malo ake ofunikira mu mankhwala abwino komanso kachitidwe kachitukuko kobwera chifukwa cha kugwirizana kwa mafakitale azinthu zatsopano zokhudzana ndi mphamvu. Malinga ndi ziwerengero, pofika kumapeto kwa 2023, kuchuluka kwa makampani a epoxy propane ku China kudapitilira matani miliyoni 7.8 pachaka, komwe kwawonjezeka pafupifupi kakhumi poyerekeza ndi 2006. chiwongola dzanja chapakati pachaka cha 13%, chomwe ndi chosowa m'makampani opanga mankhwala. Makamaka m'zaka zinayi zapitazi, kuchuluka kwa kukula kwamakampani kudapitilira 30%, kuwonetsa kukula kodabwitsa.

Chithunzi 1 Kusintha kwapachaka kwa epoxy propane ku China

Kumbuyo kwa kukula kofulumiraku, pali zinthu zambiri zomwe zimayendetsa. Choyamba, monga chowonjezera chofunikira chakutsika kwamakampani a propylene, epichlorohydrin ndiye chinsinsi chokwaniritsa chitukuko chabwino m'mabizinesi azinsinsi. Ndi kusintha ndi kukweza kwa makampani opanga mankhwala apakhomo, mabizinesi ochulukirachulukira akulabadira gawo la mankhwala abwino, ndipo epoxy propane, monga gawo lofunikira la izo, mwachilengedwe adalandira chidwi chofala. Kachiwiri, chitukuko cha mabizinesi opambana monga Wanhua Chemical yakhazikitsa chizindikiro chamakampaniwo, ndipo kuphatikiza kwawo kwamakampani ochita bwino komanso zitsanzo zachitukuko zachitukuko zimapereka chidziwitso kwa mabizinesi ena. Kuphatikiza apo, ndikukula kwachangu kwamakampani opanga mphamvu zatsopano, kulumikizana kwamakampani pakati pa epoxy propane ndi zinthu zatsopano zokhudzana ndi mphamvu zabweretsanso danga lalikulu lachitukuko.

Komabe, kukula kofulumira kumeneku kwabweretsanso mavuto angapo. Choyamba, kukwera kwachangu kwamakampani kwadzetsa kutsutsana kwakukulu kofunikira. Ngakhale kufunikira kwa msika wa epoxy propane kukukulirakulirabe, kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe zimaperekedwa ndikwachidziwikire mwachangu, zomwe zimabweretsa kutsika kosalekeza kwa magwiridwe antchito amakampani komanso mpikisano wowopsa wamsika. Kachiwiri, pali chodabwitsa cha mpikisano wofanana mkati mwamakampani. Chifukwa cha kusowa kwaukadaulo wapamwamba komanso luso lazopangapanga, mabizinesi ambiri alibe mwayi wopikisana nawo pamtundu wazinthu, magwiridwe antchito, ndi zina, ndipo amatha kupikisana nawo pamsika kudzera pankhondo zamitengo ndi njira zina. Izi sizimangokhudza phindu la mabizinesi, komanso zimalepheretsa chitukuko chabwino chamakampani.

2,Kuchuluka kwa zotsutsana zofunikila

Chifukwa chakukula kwachangu kwamakampani a epoxy propane, kutsutsana kwazomwe zimafunanso kukulirakulira. M'zaka zapitazi za 18, avareji yogwiritsira ntchito epoxy propane ku China yakhala pafupifupi 85%, ndikusunga mayendedwe okhazikika. Komabe, kuyambira 2022, kuchuluka kwa magwiridwe antchito a epoxy propane kudzachepa pang'onopang'ono, ndipo akuyembekezeka kutsika mpaka 70% pofika 2023, yomwe ndi mbiri yotsika. Kusintha kumeneku kukuwonetseratu kukula kwa mpikisano wamsika komanso kuwonjezereka kwa zotsutsana ndi zofuna zapakhomo.

Pali zifukwa ziwiri zazikuluzikulu zomwe zikuchulukirachulukira kwa zotsutsana ndi zosowa. Kumbali imodzi, ndikukula kwachangu kwamakampani, mabizinesi ochulukirachulukira akulowa mumsika wa epoxy propane, zomwe zikuyambitsa mpikisano wamsika. Pofuna kupikisana nawo pamsika, makampani amayenera kutsitsa mitengo ndikuwonjezera kupanga, zomwe zimabweretsa kutsika kosalekeza kwamitengo yogwirira ntchito. Kumbali ina, madera ogwiritsira ntchito kunsi kwa mtsinje wa epoxy propane ndi ochepa, makamaka makamaka m'madera a polyether polyols, dimethyl carbonate, propylene glycol, ndi ethers za mowa. Pakati pawo, ma polyether polyols ndi gawo lalikulu la epoxy propane, lomwe limawerengera 80% kapena kupitilira apo omwe amamwa epoxy propane. Komabe, kuchuluka kwa magwiritsidwe ntchito m'munda uno kumagwirizana ndi kukula kwachuma cha China, komanso kukula kwa mafakitale sikuchepera 6%, komwe kumakhala kocheperako kuposa kuchuluka kwa epoxy propane. Izi zikutanthauza kuti ngakhale kufunikira kwa msika kukukulirakulira, kukula kwake kumachepera pang'ono kuposa kuchuluka kwa kagayidwe kazakudya, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale zotsutsana ndi zomwe amafuna.

3,Kuchepetsa kudalira kutengera zinthu kuchokera kunja

Kudalira katundu ndi chimodzi mwazizindikiro zazikulu zoyezera kuchuluka kwa zinthu pamsika wapakhomo, komanso ndi gawo lofunikira lomwe likuwonetsa kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe zimachokera kunja. M'zaka 18 zapitazi, kudalira kwapakati kwa epoxy propane yaku China kwakhala pafupifupi 14%, kufika pachimake cha 22%. Komabe, ndikukula kwachangu kwamakampani akunyumba a epoxy propane komanso kukwera kosalekeza kwapanyumba, kudalira kochokera kunja kwawonetsa kuchepa chaka ndi chaka. Zikuyembekezeka kuti pofika chaka cha 2023, kudalira kwa China ku epoxy propane kudzatsika mpaka 6%, kutsika kwambiri m'zaka 18 zapitazi.

Chithunzi 2 Mchitidwe wodalira China pa epoxy propane yochokera kunja

Kuchepa kwa kudalira kutengera zinthu kumabwera makamaka chifukwa cha zinthu ziwiri. Choyamba, ndi kukula mofulumira kwa makampani apakhomo a epoxy propane, khalidwe ndi ntchito zapakhomo zakhala zikuyenda bwino. Mabizinesi ambiri apakhomo apanga bwino kwambiri luso laukadaulo komanso kafukufuku wazinthu ndi chitukuko, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti mtundu wa epoxy propane wopangidwa m'nyumba ukhale wofanana ndi zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja. Izi zapatsa mabizinesi apakhomo mwayi wopikisana nawo pamsika ndikuchepetsa kudalira kwawo zinthu zochokera kunja. Kachiwiri, ndi kuwonjezeka kosalekeza kwa epoxy propane kupanga mphamvu zapakhomo, mphamvu zogulitsira msika zakhala zikuyenda bwino. Izi zimathandiza mabizinesi apakhomo kuti athe kukwaniritsa zomwe akufuna pamsika ndikuchepetsa kufunikira kwa zinthu zomwe zimachokera kunja.

Komabe, kuchepa kwa kudalira zinthu kuchokera kunja kwabweretsanso mavuto angapo. Choyamba, ndikukula kosalekeza kwa msika wapakhomo wa epoxy propane komanso kukula kosalekeza kwa kufunikira, kukakamiza kwazinthu zapakhomo kukuchulukiranso. Ngati mabizinesi apakhomo sangathe kupititsa patsogolo kupanga ndi khalidwe, kutsutsana ndi zofuna za msika kungachuluke. Kachiwiri, ndi kuchepa kwa kudalira kwa kunja, mabizinesi apakhomo akukumana ndi chiwopsezo chachikulu champikisano wamsika. Kuti athe kupikisana nawo pamsika ndikukhalabe opikisana, mabizinesi apakhomo amayenera kupititsa patsogolo luso lawo laukadaulo komanso luso lazopangapanga zatsopano.

4,Kuwunika za chitukuko chamtsogolo

Msika wa epoxy propane waku China udzakumana ndi kusintha kwakukulu m'tsogolomu. Malinga ndi ziwerengero, zikuyembekezeka kuti kukula kwamakampani aku China epoxy propane kupitilira matani miliyoni 14/chaka pofika 2030, ndipo kuchuluka kwapachaka kudzakhalabe pamlingo wapamwamba wa 8,8% kuyambira 2023 mpaka 2030. mosakayika zidzawonjezera kukakamiza koperekera pamsika ndikuwonjezera chiopsezo cha kuchuluka kwa ntchito.

Mlingo wogwirira ntchito wamakampani nthawi zambiri umawoneka ngati chizindikiro chofunikira powunika ngati msika ndiwowonjezera. Pamene kuchuluka kwa ntchito kuli pansi pa 75%, pangakhale zowonjezereka pamsika. Mlingo wogwirira ntchito umakhudzidwa mwachindunji ndi kukula kwa msika wa ogula ma terminal. Pakali pano, gawo lalikulu la epoxy propane ndi polyether polyols, yomwe imapanga zoposa 80% ya mowa wonse. Komabe, madera ena ogwiritsira ntchito monga dimethyl carbonate, propylene glycol ndi ether alcohol, retardants lamoto, ngakhale alipo, ali ndi gawo laling'ono komanso chithandizo chochepa cha kumwa epichlorohydrin.

Ndikoyenera kudziwa kuti kuchuluka kwa magwiritsidwe a polyether polyols kumagwirizana kwambiri ndi kukula kwachuma cha China, ndipo kukula kwake kwa mafakitale sikuchepera 6%, kutsika kwambiri kuposa kuchuluka kwa kukula kwa epoxy propane. Izi zikutanthauza kuti ngakhale kukula kwa ogula kumacheperachepera, kukula kwachangu kumbali yoperekera zinthu kudzasokonezanso malo ogulitsa ndi kufunikira kwa msika wa epoxy propane. M'malo mwake, 2023 ikhoza kukhala chaka choyamba chochulukirachulukira mumakampani aku China a epoxy propane, ndipo kuthekera kwachulukidwe kwanthawi yayitali kumakhalabe kwakukulu.

Epoxy propane, monga chinthu chosinthira pakukula mwachangu kwamakampani aku China, ali ndi mawonekedwe ake apadera. Pamafunika mankhwala kukhala ndi makhalidwe a homogeneity ndi sikelo, pokhala ndi ndalama otsika ndi zotchinga umisiri, ndi kupeza mosavuta zipangizo. Kuphatikiza apo, ikufunikanso kukhala ndi mawonekedwe apakati pamakina ogulitsa mafakitale, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti imatha kukwaniritsa kutsika kwamtundu wamakampani. Mitundu iyi yazinthu imakhala ndi gawo lofunikira pakutukuka bwino kwamakampani opanga mankhwala, komanso amakumana ndi chiwopsezo cha kugwedezeka kwa msika.

Choncho, kwa mabizinezi kubala epoxy propane, mmene kufunafuna kusiyana mu chitukuko cha unyolo mafakitale mu mpikisano woopsa msika ndi mmene ntchito luso kwambiri kuchepetsa mtengo kupanga adzakhala zofunika njira kuganizira chitukuko cha tsogolo lawo.