Pakadali pano, msika wamankhwala wachi China ukulira kulikonse. M'miyezi 10 yapitayi, mankhwala ambiri ku China awonetsa kuchepa kwakukulu. Mankhwala ena achepetsa ndi 60%, pomwe malo otchuka a mankhwala atsika ndi 30%. Mankhwala ambiri agunda zatsopano mchaka chathachi, pomwe mankhwala ochepa agunda zatsopano zaka 10 zapitazi. Titha kunena kuti magwiridwe aposachedwa a Msika wa Chinese wakhala wopanda chiyembekezo.
Malinga ndi kusanthula, zifukwa zazikulu zopitilira momwe zimapitirira mankhwala m'chaka chathachi ndi motere:
1. Kuphatikizidwa kwa msika wogulitsa wa ogula, woimiridwa ndi United States, wakhudza kwambiri mankhwala adziko lonse lapansi.
Malinga ndi azaka za France France, index chidziwitso cha ogula ku United States adayamba kuchepa kwa miyezi 9 kotala loyamba, ndipo mabanja ambiri amayembekeza kuti kugwiritsa ntchito chuma kupita kudera. Kuchepa kwa chidziwitso cha ogula nthawi zambiri kumatanthauza kuti nkhawa zokhudzana ndi mavuto azachuma zikuchulukirachulukira, ndipo mabanja ambiri akuchepetsa ndalama pokonzekera kuwonongeka kwachuma mtsogolo.
Chifukwa chachikulu choperekera chidziwitso cha ogula ku United States ndi kuchepa kwa malo oyenera a nyumba ndi nyumba. Ndiko kunena kuti, mtengo wa malo ogulitsa ku United States ndi otsika kale kuposa ndalama za ngongole zanyumba, ndipo nyumba yeniyeni yatha. Kwa anthu awa, amalimbikitsa malamba awo ndikupitiliza kubweza ngongole zawo, kapena kusiya nyumba zawo kuti asiye kubweza ngongole zawo, zomwe zimatchedwa kulowerera. Omwe amasankha kwambiri amasankha kukulitsa malamba awo kuti apitirize kupereka ngongole, zomwe zimasokoneza bwino msika wogulitsa.
United States ndi msika waukulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi. Mu 2022, chinthu chachikulu kwambiri cha US chinali $ 22.94 thililiyoni, komabe padziko lonse lapansi. Anthu aku America ali ndi ndalama zapachaka pafupifupi $ 50000 komanso zotsalazo padziko lonse lapansi kumwa pafupifupi $ 5.7 thililiyoni. Kuchepa kwa msika wa US
2. Kupanikizika kwa macroeconomic kunabweretsa ndi mtundu wa msika waku US akokolokera pansi pazachuma padziko lonse lapansi.
Dziko la World Bank latulutsa lipoti lapadziko lonse lapansi linagwedeza kukula kwachuma kulosera kwapadziko lonse lapansi kwa 2023 mpaka 1.7%, kuchepa kwa zaka za zana la June 2020 kuchokera pazaka 30 zapitazi. Lipotilo likuwonetsa kuti chifukwa cha zinthu zambiri monga kuchuluka kwa chiwongola dzanja, chiwongola dzanja, kuchepetsedwa ndalama, ndi mikangano yazachuma, kukula kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi kumachepera pang'ono kutsika.
Purezider World Purezire adati zachuma padziko lonse lapansi chikukumana ndi vuto la kukula kwake "ndipo zovuta zomwe zimachitika padziko lonse lapansi zitha kupitiliza. Pamene kukula kwazachuma kumachepa, kupsinjika kwa inflation ku United States kumawonjezeka, ndipo zovuta za mavuto zimachulukirachulukira, zomwe zakhala zikuchitika pamsika wa ogula padziko lonse lapansi.
3. Kupezeka kwa mankhwala ku China kukupitilizabe, ndipo mankhwala ambiri amakumana ndi vuto lalikulu kwambiri.
Kuyambira kumapeto kwa 2022 mpaka pakati pa 2023, ntchito zingapo zazikulu zaku China ku China zidagwiritsidwa ntchito. Pakutha kwa Ogasiti 2022, Zhejiang Peratrochemical adagwira ntchito pazaka 1.4 miliyoni za ethylene wa pachaka pachaka, komanso kuthandizira mbewu zakum'mawa; Mu Seputembala 2022, a Liayungang Petrochemical Edrochemical Gubler Ethambocal adagwira ntchito ndi zida zotsika; Pamapeto pa Disembala 2022, kuyeretsa ku Shenghong ndi matani 16 miliyoni a colojekiti, ndikuwonjezera zatsopano zamankhwala; Mu February 2023, chomera cha hainan miliyoni chimagwiritsidwa ntchito, ndipo polojekiti yolumikizidwa yolumikizidwa idagwirira ntchito; Pamapeto pa 2022, chomera cha Ethylene cha Shanghai Petrochemical idzagwira ntchito. Mu Meyi 2023, pulojekiti ya TDI ya Whuaca mankhwala a Fujian mafakitale park idzagwiridwa.
Chaka chathachi, China chakhazikitsa ntchito zambiri zamankhwala zazikulu, ndikuwonjezera msika wa mankhwala ambiri. Pansi pa msika wamalonda wa Ogula
Ponseponse, chifukwa chachikulu chakutha kwa nthawi yayitali mumitengo yamankhwala ndi kumwa aulesi ku msika wapadziko lonse, womwe wapangitsa kuchepa kwambiri pazogulitsa zakunja zamankhwala. Kuchokera panjirayi, zitha kuwonekanso kuti ngati kunja kwa msika wa ogula amasungunuka, kutsutsana kwa ogula pamsika wa ogula kumapangitsa kuti pakhale mitengo yotsika mtengo. Kuchepa kwamitengo yamayiko apadziko lonse kwathanso kukonza zofooka mu msika wa mankhwala aku China, motero kudziwa mtsogolo. Chifukwa chake, mitengo yamtengo wapatali yam'madzi ndi benchmark ya mankhwala ambiri ku China akamapanikizikabe ndi msika wapadziko lonse lapansi, ndipo makampani aku China amakakamizidwabe pamisika yakunja pankhaniyi. Chifukwa chake, kuti muthane ndi moyo wathamba za chaka chimodzi, kuwonjezera pa kusintha kwake, kumalithandizanso zambiri pamapulogalamu otumphukira.