Kuyambira 2015-2021, msika waku China wa bisphenol A, womwe ukukula komanso chitukuko chokhazikika.2021 China yopanga bisphenol A ikuyembekezeka kufika pafupifupi matani 1.7 miliyoni, ndipo kutsegulira kwathunthu kwa zida zazikulu za bisphenol A ndi pafupifupi 77%, yomwe ili pamlingo wapamwamba.Zikuyembekezeka kuti kuyambira chaka cha 2022, zida zopangira bisphenol A zomwe sizimamangidwa motsatizana, zikuyembekezeka kuwonjezeka pang'onopang'ono.2016-2020 China's bisphenol A msika ukukwera pang'onopang'ono, kudalira kunja kwa msika wa bisphenol A kuli pafupi ndi 30%.Zikuyembekezeka kuti pakuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa mphamvu zopangira zinthu zapakhomo mtsogolomo, kudalira kunja kwa bisphenol A kukuyembekezeka kupitilirabe kutsika.

Bisphenol A msika wofuna kunsi kwa mtsinje umakhala wokhazikika, womwe umagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri pa PC ndi epoxy resin, pafupifupi theka la gawo lililonse.2021 ikuyembekezeka kugwiritsira ntchito bisphenol A zowoneka bwino za matani pafupifupi 2.19 miliyoni, kuwonjezeka kwa 2% poyerekeza ndi 2020. M'tsogolomu, pamene zipangizo zatsopano za PC ndi epoxy resin zikugwiritsidwa ntchito, kufunika kwa msika kwa bisphenol A kukuyembekezeka kuwonjezeka kwambiri.

Kupanga kwatsopano kwa PC ndikokulirapo, kukopa kukula kwa msika wa bisphenol A.China ndiyogulitsa kunja kwa polycarbonate, kulowetsa m'malo kukufunika mwachangu.Malinga ndi ziwerengero za BCF, mu 2020, PC yaku China yopanga matani 819,000, kutsika ndi 19.6% pachaka, kutulutsa matani 1.63 miliyoni, mpaka 1.9%, kutumiza kunja kwa matani pafupifupi 251,000, kugwiritsa ntchito matani 2.198 miliyoni, kutsika ndi 7.0%. chaka ndi chaka, mlingo wodzidalira okha 37.3%, China kufunika mwamsanga kwa PC kunja.

Kuyambira Januware mpaka Okutobala 2021, PC yaku China yopanga matani 702,600, kutsika ndi 0.38% pachaka, zogulitsa zapakhomo za PC za matani 1.088 miliyoni, kutsika ndi 10.0% pachaka, zotumiza kunja kwa matani 254,000, kuwonjezeka kwa 41.1% chaka -pachaka, ndi mphamvu zatsopano zopangira ma PC aku China zakhazikitsidwa, kudalira kwakunja kukuyembekezeka kupitiliza kukwera.

Makampani opanga mphamvu zamphepo, zida zamagetsi ndi mafakitale ena amayendetsa epoxy resin kuti apitilize kukula.madera waukulu ntchito za m'banja epoxy utomoni ndi ❖ kuyanika, zipangizo gulu, zipangizo zamagetsi ndi magetsi ndi mafakitale zomatira, ndi ntchito chiŵerengero cha gawo lililonse m'zaka zaposachedwapa amakhalabe okhazikika, mlandu 35%, 30%, 26% ndi 9% motero. .

Zikuyembekezeka kuti m'zaka 5 zikubwerazi, pakati pa ntchito zambiri zakumunsi za epoxy resin, resin epoxy resin yazinthu zophatikizika ndi zomangamanga zazikulu, zizikhala gawo lalikulu lothandizira kukula kwa epoxy resin resin.Kuwonjezeka kwa kufunikira kwa mphamvu zamphepo, kumanga ndi kukonza njanji zothamanga kwambiri, misewu yayikulu, njanji zapansi panthaka ndi ma eyapoti pakumanga kwamatawuni kudzayendetsa chitukuko cha epoxy resin.Makamaka ndi kukwezedwa kwa "Belt One, One Road", kufunikira kwa epoxy resin kudzawonjezeka kwambiri.

PCB makampani ndi waukulu kunsi ntchito utomoni epoxy mu magetsi ndi magetsi, zinthu pachimake PCB ndi mkuwa atavala bolodi, epoxy utomoni nkhani pafupifupi 15% ya mtengo wa bolodi mkuwa atavala.Ndi kusinthika kwachangu kwaukadaulo wazidziwitso za m'badwo watsopano monga data yayikulu, intaneti yazinthu, luntha lochita kupanga, 5G, ndi zina zambiri, monga zida zoyambira zamagetsi zamagetsi, kufunikira ndi kukula kwa bolodi lovala zamkuwa likuyembekezeka kukula chaka ndi chaka. chaka.

Msika wa Bisphenol A uli pachiwopsezo chachikulu, tikuganiza kuti kufunikira kwa msika wa bisphenol A kumapangidwa panthawi yake, msika waposachedwa wa bisphenol A kumunsi kwa epoxy resin uli ndi matani 1.54 miliyoni akumanga, PC ili ndi matani 1.425 miliyoni a mphamvu zomwe zikumangidwa, mphamvuzi zimayikidwa muzaka 2-3 zikubwerazi, kufunikira kwa msika wa bisphenol A kumakoka kwambiri.Perekani, bisphenol A kotunga kukhalabe kukula wololera, panopa bisphenol A kupanga mphamvu yomanga matani 2.83 miliyoni, mphamvu zimenezi anaika mu ntchito mu zaka 2-3, pambuyo kukula kwa makampani makamaka zochokera Integrated chitukuko, gulu limodzi la zipangizo anaika ntchito yekha kuchepetsa zinthu, kukula kwa makampani mpaka mlingo wololera.

2021-2030 Bisphenol A makampani aku China akadali ndi matani 5.52 miliyoni a ntchito zomwe zikumangidwa / chaka, nthawi 2.73 mphamvu ya matani 2.025 miliyoni / chaka kumapeto kwa 2020, zitha kuwoneka kuti mpikisano wamsika wamsika wa bisphenol A ndiwokulirapo, kutsutsana pakati pa kupezeka ndi kufunikira kwa msika kudzasinthidwa, makamaka kwa omwe angoyamba kumene, ntchito ya polojekiti ndi malo otsatsa malonda zidzakula kwambiri.

Pofika kumapeto kwa mwezi wa 2020 mwezi wa bisphenol A pakupanga mabizinesi 11, mphamvu yopanga matani 2.025 miliyoni, pomwe matani 1.095 miliyoni amakampani akunja, matani 630,000 achinsinsi, olowa nawo matani 300,000, motero, amawerengera 3154% %, 15%.Kuchokera ku 2021 mpaka 2030, kukonza msika wa Bisphenol A ku China, polojekiti yomwe ikumangidwa ndi matani okwana 5.52 miliyoni, mphamvu yopangira idakalipobe ku East China, koma ndi kukula kwa makampani akumunsi a PC, South China, Northeast, Central China. ndi madera ena kukula mphamvu, pamene zoweta bisphenol A msika mphamvu kufalitsa Kuphunzira adzakhala bwino, pamene ndi kutumidwa pang'onopang'ono polojekiti, bisphenol A msika ndi wocheperapo udindo wa kufunika adzakhalanso pang'onopang'ono. Msika wa BPA ndi wocheperako poyerekeza ndi zomwe zimafunidwa zidzachepetsedwa pang'onopang'ono, ndipo kuchuluka kwazinthu kumayembekezeredwa.

2010-2020 pamodzi ndi kukula kwa bisphenol A mphamvu msika, kupanga limasonyeza kwambiri kukula azimuth, pa mphamvu pawiri mawonjezedwe mlingo wa 14.3%, kupanga pawiri kukula mlingo wa 17.1%, makampani chiyambi-mmwamba mlingo makamaka anakhudzidwa ndi msika. mtengo, phindu lamakampani ndi kutayika komanso nthawi yotumizira zida zatsopano, zomwe zidafika pachimake poyambira 85.6% mu 2019. 2021, pamodzi ndi msika watsopano wa bisphenol A Bisphenol A ukuyembekezeka kukulirakulira mu 2021-2025, Chiwopsezo chonse cha msika wa Bisphenol A waku China chikuyembekezeka kuwonetsa kutsika, zomwe zimapangitsa kuchepa kwamitengo yoyambira pazifukwa izi: 1. 1. 2021-2025 zida zaku China za bisphenol A zimaonjezedwa chaka ndi chaka, pomwe kupanga kumasulidwa mochedwa kuposa mphamvu, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti 2021-2025 ayambe kuchepa;2. Kutsika kwamtengo wapatali kumakhala kwakukulu, phindu lalikulu la mafakitale linasowa pang'onopang'ono, malinga ndi ndalama zopangira ndi phindu, kutaya nthawi panthawi yopanga zolinga ndizochepa;3. Pali kukonzanso kwapachaka kwa mabizinesi, kuyambira masiku 30-45, kukonza mabizinesi kumakhudza kuchuluka kwamakampani oyambira.

M'tsogolomu, deta ya kukula kwakukulu kwa mphamvu zopanga komanso kuchepa kwa chiwerengero choyambira kuyembekezera, chiopsezo cha ntchito yamtsogolo chawonjezeka kwambiri.Kuphatikizika kwamakampani, mphamvu ya CR4 idawerengera 68% mu 2020, mpaka 27% mu 2030, ikhoza kuwonetsa kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa omwe atenga nawo gawo pamakampani a bisphenol A, mabizinesi otsogola mumakampaniwo adzakhala ndi kuchepa kwakukulu paudindo;pa nthawi yomweyo, chifukwa bisphenol A msika kufunika kunsi kwa mitsinje makamaka anaikira epoxy utomoni ndi polycarbonate, kugawa munda anaikira ndipo chiwerengero cha makasitomala lalikulu ndi ochepa, mlingo wa mpikisano m'tsogolo bisphenol A msika anakula, ogwira ntchito In. kuti mutsimikizire kugawana kwa msika, kusankhidwa kwa njira zogulitsa kudzakhala kosavuta.

Kugula ndi kufunikira kwa msika, pambuyo pa 2021, msika wa bisphenol A udzayambitsanso kukulirakulira, makamaka m'zaka 10 zikubwerazi, bisphenol A kupanga mphamvu pawiri kukula kwa 9.9%, pomwe kutsika kwa kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwapawiri kukula kwa 7.3%, Bisphenol Kuchulukirachulukira kwa msika, kutsutsana kwachulukidwe kochulukira, gawo limodzi la kusapikisana bwino kwa bisphenol A mabizinesi opanga akhoza kukumana ndi vuto lakusatsata kokwanira koyambira, kugwiritsa ntchito zida.

M'tsogolomu kukula kwa mphamvu ndi kutsika kwa chiwerengero cha kuyambika kwa deta kumayembekezeredwa, kuyenda kwazinthu zothandizira ntchito zamtsogolo komanso chitsogozo cha kutsika kwa madzi kwakhala cholinga chachikulu cha ntchito zomwe zilipo komanso zamtsogolo.

Kugwiritsa ntchito kumunsi kwa Bisphenol A ku China kumapangidwa makamaka ndi epoxy resin ndi polycarbonate.Kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwa epoxy resin mu 2015-2018 kunakhala gawo lalikulu kwambiri, koma pamodzi ndi kukulitsidwa kwa mphamvu yopangira ma PC, kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwa epoxy resin kunachititsa kuchepa.2019-2020 PC kupanga mphamvu anaikira kukulitsa, pamene epoxy utomoni kupanga mphamvu ndi okhazikika, PC anayamba mlandu kuposa epoxy utomoni, PC kumwa mu 2020 anawerengera mpaka 49%, kukhala gawo lalikulu kunsi kwa mtsinje.China panopa ali ndi mphamvu owonjezera utomoni zofunika epoxy, apamwamba ndi luso utomoni wapadera ndi zovuta kudutsa, koma ndi chitukuko cha mphamvu mphepo, magalimoto, magetsi ndi zamagetsi, zomangamanga zomangamanga, zofunika epoxy utomoni ndi mowa polycarbonate kukhalabe wabwino. mphamvu ya kukula.2021-2025, ngakhale apamwamba ndi wapadera epoxy utomoni ndi PC synchronous kukula, koma PC kukulitsa sikelo ndi yaikulu, ndi PC single mowa chiŵerengero ndi apamwamba kuposa Epoxy utomoni, kotero akuyembekezeka kukulitsa chiŵerengero mowa PC mu 2025 adzakhala. kufika 52%, kotero kuchokera kunsi kwa mtsinje wogwiritsira ntchito, chipangizo cha PC chamtsogolo cha bisphenol A polojekiti yowunikira.Koma ziyenera kudziwidwa kuti zida zaposachedwa za PC zomwe zili m'mwamba zimathandizira kwambiri bisphenol A, chifukwa chake mayendedwe a epoxy resin akufunikabe kukhala chinthu chofunikira chowonjezera.

Ponena za misika yayikulu ya ogula, palibe opanga BPA akuluakulu komanso ogula otsika kwambiri kumpoto chakumadzulo ndi kumpoto chakum'mawa kwa China, kotero palibe kusanthula kwakukulu komwe kudzachitike pano.East China ikuyembekezeka kutembenuka kuchoka pakuchepetsa kupita kuzinthu zambiri mu 2023-2024.North China nthawi zonse imakhala yochulukirapo.Central China nthawi zonse imakhala ndi kusiyana kwina.Msika waku South China umasintha kuchokera kuzinthu zochepa mpaka ku 2022-2023 komanso kuchulukirachulukira kwambiri mu 2025. Zikuyembekezeka kuti pofika chaka cha 2025, msika wa BPA ku China udzayendetsedwa ndi kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwa zinthu zotumphukira komanso mpikisano wamtengo wotsika kulanda msika.Zikuganiziridwa kuti mabizinesi a BPA atha kuwona kutumizira kunja ngati njira yayikulu yogwiritsira ntchito poganizira zotumphukira komanso kutsika kwamitengo yotsika kupita kumadera omwe amagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri.