Mu theka loyamba la 2022, mitengo yamsika yapanyumba ya propylene idakwera pang'ono chaka ndi chaka, ndipo kukwera mtengo kumakhala chinthu chachikulu chomwe chimathandizira mitengo ya propylene.Komabe, kupitiriza kutulutsidwa kwa mphamvu zatsopano zopangira zinthu kunachititsa kuti pakhale kupanikizika kwa msika, komanso kukwera kwa mtengo wa propylene, theka loyamba la phindu lonse la malonda a propylene latsika.Mu theka lachiwiri la chaka, kupanikizika kumbali ya mtengo kungachepetse pang'ono, pamene mbali yopereka ndi yofunidwa ikuyembekezeka kuonjezera zotsatira za mitengo ya propylene mu theka lachiwiri la chaka ikuyembekezeka kukwera ndikugwa, pafupifupi. mulingo wamtengo sungakhale wokwera ngati m'gawo loyamba.

Zinthu zazikulu zomwe zikukhudza msika wapakhomo wa propylene mu theka loyamba la 2022 ndi izi.

1. Kuwonjezeka kwa mtengo wa chaka ndi chaka, kupanga chithandizo chabwino cha mitengo ya propylene.

2. kukwera kokwanira kokwanira, komwe ndikokokera pakukwera kwamitengo ya propylene.

3. Kuchulukirachulukira kofunikira koma kuchepa kwa phindu kutsika, kukwera pang'ono kumitengo ya propylene.

Zopangira za propylene zimakwera kwambiri kuposa zinthu zakutsika, phindu lamakampani limatsika

Mu theka loyamba la 2022, mitengo yamakampani a propylene imakwera kuchokera kuzinthu zopangira kupita kuzinthu zapansi panthaka mwadongosolo.Monga tikuonera pa tebulo ili m'munsimu, mtengo wa mafuta osakanizidwa ndi propane monga zipangizo zazikulu za propylene zinakwera kwambiri m'zaka zoyambirira za chaka, makamaka mitengo yamafuta inakwera ndi 60,88% pachaka, zomwe zinapangitsa kuti pakhale chiwopsezo chachikulu. kuwonjezeka kwa mtengo wa propylene.Poyerekeza ndi zopangira, mitengo yapakhomo ya propylene idakwera zosakwana 4% pachaka, ndipo mafakitale a propylene adawonongeka kwambiri.Mitengo ya propylene kunsi kwa mitsinje inagwa chaka ndi chaka, makamaka propylene oxide, butyl mowa, acrylonitrile, mitengo ya acetone idatsika kwambiri.Phindu la zotumphukira za propylene kunsi kwa mtsinje nthawi zambiri zidatsika mu theka loyamba la chaka chifukwa chophatikiza kukwera kwamitengo yazinthu komanso kutsika kwamitengo yazinthuzo.

Mitengo ya propylene imakwera kwambiri chaka ndi chaka, kuthandizira mitengo ya propylene bwino

Mitengo inakwera kwambiri, ndipo njira zambiri zimawonongeka.2022 propylene makampani phindu anali osauka mu theka loyamba la chaka, ndi njira zosiyanasiyana propylene ndalama kukwera pa mitengo yosiyana chaka ndi chaka, ndi 15% -45%, kusonyeza kukwera kwambiri mitengo yaiwisi.Ngakhale pakati pa mphamvu yokoka ya mitengo ya propylene idakweranso, koma kuchuluka kwake kunali kosakwana 4%.Zotsatira zake, phindu la njira zosiyanasiyana za propylene linatsika kwambiri chaka ndi chaka, ndi 60% -262%.Kupatula propylene yopangidwa ndi malasha, yomwe inali yopindulitsa pang'ono, njira zina zonse za propylene zinali zotayika kwambiri.
Chiwerengero chonse cha kupezeka kwa propylene chikukwera, kukweza mitengo ya propylene kukwera

Mphamvu zatsopano zikupitiriza kutulutsidwa, ndi kukula kwa nthawi imodzi mukupanga mphamvu.2021 H1 imaphatikizapo gawo lachiwiri la Zhenhai Refinery, Lihua Yi, Qi Xiang, Xinyue, Xinjiang Hengyou, Srbang, Anqing Tai Hengfa, Xintai, Tianjin Bohua, ndi zina zambiri.Mphamvu zatsopanozi zimagawidwa makamaka ku Shandong ndi East China, ndikugawa pang'ono ku Northwest, North ndi Central China.Njira yopangira mphamvu zatsopano makamaka ndi PDH, kusweka kwa munthu payekha, kusweka kwamphamvu, njira zopangira MTO ndi MTP ziliponso.Matani 3.58 miliyoni a mphamvu zatsopano zapakhomo adawonjezedwa mu theka loyamba la 2022, ndipo mphamvu yonse yapakhomo ya propylene idakula mpaka matani 53.58 miliyoni.Kutulutsidwa kwa mphamvu yatsopano ya propylene kunapangitsa kuti ntchito zichuluke, ndikupanga matani okwana 22.4 miliyoni a propylene mu H1 2022, kuwonjezeka kwa 5.81% poyerekeza ndi nthawi yomweyi mu 2021.

Avereji yamtengo wogulitsira kunja unkakwera chaka ndi chaka, ndipo kuchuluka kwa katundu wochokera kunja kunachepa kwambiri.Mtengo wapakati wa 2022 H1 wotengera kunja unkakwera chaka ndi chaka, ndipo mwayi wotengera zinthu zomwe watumizidwa kunja unali wochepa.Makamaka, mu Epulo 2022, zotuluka m'nyumba za propylene zinali matani 54,600 okha, mbiri yotsika m'zaka 14 zapitazi.okwana propylene imports mu theka loyamba la 2022 akuyembekezeka kukhala 965,500 matani, pansi 22.46% kuchokera nthawi yomweyo mu 2021. Pamene m'nyumba propylene chakudya akupitiriza kuchulukirachulukira, msika kunja kulowetsedwanso woponderezedwa, mogwirizana ndi ziyembekezo msika.
Kufuna kwa propylene kumawonjezeka koma phindu lakutsika limachepa, kukwera pang'ono kumitengo ya propylene

Kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwa propylene kumakula chaka ndi chaka ndikutulutsidwa kwa mphamvu yatsopano yotsika pansi.2022 H1 idaphatikizanso kutumizidwa kwa mayunitsi angapo akumunsi kuphatikiza Lianhong New Materials, Weifang Shu Skin Kang polypropylene plant, Lijin Refinery, Tianchen Qixiang acrylonitrile plant, Zhenhai II, Tianjin Bohua propylene oxide plant ndi ZPCC acetone plant growth, driving acetone plant.Kuthekera kwatsopano kutsika kumayikidwanso ku Shandong ndi East China, ndikugawa pang'ono ku North China.Matani 23.74 miliyoni akugwiritsa ntchito propylene kumunsi kwa theka loyamba la 2022, kuwonjezeka kwa 7.03% poyerekeza ndi nthawi yomweyi mu 2021.

Mabizinesi apakhomo akutumiza mwachangu kunja, ndipo kuchuluka kwa katundu wa propylene kumawonjezeka chaka ndi chaka.Chifukwa chakuchulukirachulukira kwa mphamvu zopangira ma propylene m'nyumba komanso kukwera kwakukulu kwa mpikisano wamsika, mbewu zina zazikulu zikufunafuna mwachangu mwayi wotumiza kunja, komanso kutuluka kwa gawo la arbitrage space, kuchuluka kwa katundu wa propylene kwakula kwambiri chaka ndi chaka.
Kutsika kwa phindu kumachepa, kutha kuvomereza mitengo yamafuta kunatsika.theka loyamba la 2022 mitengo ya zinthu zopangira idakwera, pomwe mitengo ya propylene yochokera kumunsi idatsika makamaka, phindu lazinthu zakutsika kwa propylene zidatsika.Pakati pawo, phindu la butanol ndi acrylic acid ndilokhazikika, ndipo phindu la njira ya propylene ECH imakulitsidwa.Komabe, phindu la polypropylene, acrylonitrile, phenol ketone ndi propylene oxide phindu lonse linachepa kwambiri, ndipo polypropylene yaikulu yotsika pansi inagwera kutayika kwa nthawi yaitali.Kuvomereza kwamitengo yamitengo ya propylene pamitengo yamafuta kunatsika ndipo chidwi chawo chogula chinali chochepa, zomwe zidakhudza kufunika kwa propylene pamlingo wina.

Mitengo ya propylene mu theka lachiwiri la chaka ikuyembekezeka kukwera kenako kugwa, ndi mitengo yamtengo wapatali osati yokwera kwambiri ngati theka loyamba la chaka.

Pa mbali ya mtengo, mitengo yamtengo wapatali ikhoza kugwa mu theka lachiwiri la chaka, ndipo chithandizo cha mtengo wa propylene chikhoza kufooka pang'ono.

Pa mbali yopereka katundu, katundu wochokera kunja anali wochepa kwambiri mu theka loyamba la chaka ndipo akuyembekezeka kuwonjezeka pang'ono mu theka lachiwiri la chaka pamene katundu akubwerera pang'onopang'ono.Mu theka lachiwiri la chaka, palinso mapulani atsopano opanga zoweta kuti ayambe kugwira ntchito, voliyumu ya propylene ikupitilira kukula, kukakamiza kwa msika sikuchepa, zotsatira za mbali zoperekera zidakali zamphamvu.

Mbali yofunikira, phindu lalikulu lakutsika kwa polypropylene ndi momwe mungayambitsire akadali chinthu chofunikira kwambiri chomwe chikukhudza kufunikira kwa propylene, kufunikira kwina kwamankhwala kumunsi kwa mtsinje kukuyembekezeka kukhala kokhazikika.Kutsika kwamphamvu kumatha kuwonjezeka mu Novembala ndi Disembala.

Ponseponse, mtengo wa propylene mu theka lachiwiri la chaka ukhoza kukwera ndiyeno kugwa, ndipo pafupifupi mtengo wapakati wa mphamvu yokoka sungakhale wokwera ngati theka loyamba la chaka.Pakati pamtengo wamtengo wapatali wa msika wa Shandong propylene mu theka lachiwiri la chaka akuyembekezeka kukhala 7700-7800 yuan/ton, ndi mtengo wa 7000-8300 yuan/ton.

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