Mu Okutobala, unyolo wamakampani a phenol ndi ketone unali wodabwitsa kwambiri.Ndi MMA yokha ya zinthu zakutsika zomwe zidatsika m'mweziwu.Kukwera kwazinthu zina kunali kosiyana, ndi MIBK ikukwera kwambiri, kutsatiridwa ndi acetone.M'mweziwu, msika wa benzene yoyera udapitilira kutsika, ndipo kukambirana kwapamwamba kwambiri ku East China kunafika 8250-8300 yuan/tani m'masiku khumi oyamba.Pakati ndi kumapeto kwa masiku khumi a chaka, msika waika zotsatira zoipa.Opanga otsika amavutika kugaya kuchuluka kwa zida zopangira.Msika weniweni wa benzene watsika, zomwe zikugwirizana kwambiri ndi momwe msika wa phenol ukuyendera.Pankhani ya phenol, msika m'mweziwu udakhudzidwa ndi mlengalenga wamagetsi, mbali yamtengo wapatali komanso njira yoperekera komanso kufunikira.Poganizira kusowa kwa chithandizo chamtengo wapatali, malingaliro a msika wa bisphenol A sali okwera, makampaniwa alibe chiyembekezo pa msika wamtsogolo, ndipo malonda ndi ndalama zikuchepa.Panthawi imodzimodziyo, ngakhale mtengo wa bisphenol A unakwera mwezi umodzi pa mwezi wa October, cholinga chonsecho sichinali cholimba, ndipo kuperekedwa kunkayenera kuwonjezeka.Komabe, PC yotsika ndi utomoni wa epoxy udapitilirabe kutsika, makamaka chifukwa cha mapangano ogulitsa.Msika wa bisphenol A unali wopanda mphamvu kuti utukuke.Zogulitsa zina zimatsogozedwanso ndi zomwe zikuchitika pamakampani onse.
Table 1 Mndandanda wa Kukwera ndi Kugwa kwa Phenol Ketone Industry Chain mu October

Gwero lachidziwitso chazithunzi: Jin Lianchuang

Kusanthula pakukwera ndi kugwa kwa unyolo wamakampani a phenol ketone mu Okutobala

Gwero lachidziwitso: Jin Lianchuang
Monga momwe tawonetsera pa chithunzi pamwambapa, malinga ndi ziwerengero za mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa mwezi uliwonse ndi kugwa kwa phenol ndi ketone mu Oktoba, mankhwala asanu ndi atatu adakwera ndi zisanu ndi ziwiri ndikugwa ndi chimodzi.

Gwero lachidziwitso: Jin Lianchuang
Kuphatikiza apo, malinga ndi mwezi pamwezi ziwerengero zamitengo ya phenol ndi ketone mu Okutobala, kuwonjezeka kwa chinthu chilichonse kumayendetsedwa mkati mwa 15%.Pakati pawo, kukwera kwa MIBK, mankhwala otsika pansi, ndi odziwika kwambiri, pamene kukwera kwa benzene yoyera, mankhwala okwera pamwamba, ndi ochepa;M'mwezi, msika wa MMA wokha unagwa, ndipo mtengo wapakati pamwezi unagwa 11.47% mwezi pamwezi.
benzene yoyera: Msika wamtundu wa benzene utatha mu Okutobala, udapitilira kutsika.M'mweziwu, mtengo wa Sinopec wa benzene yoyera udakwera ndi 350 yuan/ton kufika pa 8200 yuan/ton, kenako unatsika ndi 750 yuan/ton kufika pa 7450 yuan/ton kuyambira pa 13 October mpaka kumapeto kwa mwezi uno.M'masiku khumi oyambirira, mafuta amtundu wapadziko lonse adapitilirabe kukwera, ndipo styrene yakumunsi ya mtsinje idakonzedwa makamaka.Amalonda akumunsi amangofunika kusunga ndikupereka chithandizo chamsika.Msika weniweni wa benzene udakwera mtengo, ndipo msika waku East China udakambirana kuti mtengo wapamwamba ukwere mpaka 8250-8300 yuan/ton, koma kukwera kwa msika sikunapitirire.Pakati pa masiku khumi ndi kumapeto kwa masiku khumi, mafuta amtundu wapadziko lonse adatsika, msika wa benzene wakunja unagwira ntchito mofooka, ndipo styrene kumunsi kwa mtsinjewo kudachita mantha, zomwe zinapangitsa msika wa East China kuyankhulanso - yuan/ton, ndipo msika wa benzene udayamba. kuchepa mosalekeza.Pofika pa Okutobala 28, msika waku East China pure benzene negotiation reference ndi 7300-7350 yuan/ton, msika waukulu ku North China ndi 7500-7650 yuan/ton, ndipo cholinga chachikulu chogula ndi 7450-7500 yuan/ton. .
Zikuyembekezeka kuti msika wa benzene udzakhala wofooka m'masiku khumi oyambirira a Novembala, ndipo msika udzakhala wosasunthika m'masiku khumi achiwiri.Mu theka loyamba la chaka, mbale yakunja ya benzene yoyera inali yofooka, ndipo ntchito ya styrene yakumunsi inali yofooka.Kuchuluka kwa benzene ku East China Port kunasonkhanitsidwa, ndipo gawo latsopano la Shenghong Petrochemical linali litayamba kugwira ntchito.Kupezeka kwa benzene koyera pamsika kuchulukirachulukira, ndipo kukonza kokonzekera kwa magawo ena akumunsi kudzawonjezeka.Kufunika kwa benzene koyera kudzachepa poyerekeza ndi nthawi yapitayi.Zofunikira za kupezeka ndi zofunikira ndizofooka.Msika wapakhomo wa benzene ukuyembekezeka kukhalabe wofooka.Pakati ndi kumapeto kwa masiku khumi, ngati zida zatsopano za benzene zapakhomo zikhazikitsidwa monga momwe zinakonzedwera, msika udzakwera pang'onopang'ono ndipo mpikisano wamsika udzakula kwambiri.Nthawi yomweyo, zida zina zapansi panthaka zikukonzekera kuti ziyambitsenso ndikuwonjezereka, kufunikira kwa benzene yoyera kudzachulukirachulukira, zoyambira zopezeka ndi zofunikira zidzasinthidwa, ndipo msika wapakhomo wa benzene ugwedezeka ndikukonzedwanso pakanthawi kochepa.Panthawi imodzimodziyo, msika uyeneranso kumvetsera momwe mafuta akuyendera padziko lonse lapansi, komanso kusintha kwa phindu ndi kutayika kwazitsulo zamakampani akumunsi.
Propylene: Mu Okutobala, kuchuluka kwa msika wa propylene kunabwerera m'mbuyo, ndipo malo amtengowo adakweranso pang'ono poyerekeza ndi mwezi watha.Pofika kumapeto kwa tsiku la 31, malonda akuluakulu ku Shandong anali atafika pa 7000-7100 yuan/ton, kutsika 525 yuan/ton poyerekeza ndi kutseka kwa mwezi wapitawo.Kusinthasintha kwamitengo ku Shandong m'mwezi kunali 7000-7750 yuan/ton, ndi matalikidwe a 10.71%.M'masiku khumi oyambirira a mwezi uno (1008-1014), msika wa propylene unali wolamulidwa ndi kukwera koyamba ndikutsika.Pachiyambi choyamba, mafuta amtundu wapadziko lonse adapitilirabe kukwera, ndipo msika waukulu wakumunsi wa propylene unali kumbali yolimba, ndikuyenda bwino.Zofunikira zinali zoyendetsedwa ndi phindu.Zofunikira zoperekera ndi zofunikira sizinali zokakamizika, ndipo mabizinesi opanga adapitilirabe kukwera.Pambuyo pake, kachitidwe ka tsogolo la mafuta amafuta ndi ma polypropylene padziko lonse lapansi adafooka, ndipo kupezeka kwawoko kudachulukiranso.Kukakamizidwa kwa mafakitale pawokha kuti atumize kunakula, zomwe zidapangitsa kutsika ndikutsitsa malingaliro amsika.Chidwi chogula zinthu zapansi panthaka chinachepa, ndipo kufooka kwa msika kunachepa.Pakati ndi kumapeto kwa masiku khumi (1014-1021), msika wa propylene udakhazikika makamaka, ndi chitsogozo chomveka bwino pazikhazikitso ndi zoperewera ndi zofunikira.Choyamba, mtengo wa propylene udapitilirabe kugwa koyambirira, ndipo malingaliro a wopanga pakukonza mitengo pang'onopang'ono adakwera.Mtsinje wapansi uyenera kudzaza nyumba yosungiramo katundu pamtengo wotsika, ndipo chikhalidwe cha malonda a msika ndi choyenera;Chachiwiri, nkhani zotsegula ndi kutseka za Shandong PDH zimasakanizidwa, ndi kusatsimikizika kwakukulu.Ogwiritsa ntchito amakhala osamala pochita malonda, ndipo makamaka amawona msika moyenera, osasinthasintha pang'ono.Kumapeto kwa mwezi (1021-1031), msika wa propylene unali wofooka kwambiri.Chifukwa cha kusalinganika pakati pa zoperekera ndi zofunidwa, zogulira m'derali zidachulukiranso, kuchuluka kwa zotumizira kudakwera, mpikisano wamitengo udapitilira, zomwe zidapangitsa kutsika kolimbikitsa kutumiza, ndipo malingaliro amsika onse adatsika.Kuonjezera apo, malo ambiri amakhudzidwa ndi zochitika za umoyo wa anthu, ndipo kunsi kwa mtsinje kumangofunika kugula, kotero kuti msika wamalonda umakhala wofooka.
Mu Novembala, mfundo zandalama zochokera kumayiko akulu azachuma ku Europe ndi America, zilango zamafuta aku Western Russian ndikukhazikitsa OPEC + mgwirizano wochepetsera kupanga ndi zinthu zina zokopa zinali zovuta, ndipo kusatsimikizika konse kunali kolimba.Zinkayembekezeredwa kuti mafuta osakanizidwa adzawonetsa chizolowezi chodziletsa poyamba ndiyeno kukwera, kuyang'ana pa kusintha kwa mtengo ndi kukhudzidwa kwa maganizo.Kumbali yopereka, kuwonjezeka akadali njira yayikulu.Choyamba, kusungirako ndi kusungirako zigawo zina za dehydrogenation ku Shandong zikuyembekezeredwa, koma kusatsimikizika kuli kolimba, choncho tikulimbikitsidwa kuti tiyang'ane kwambiri m'tsogolomu;Chachiwiri, ndi kukhazikitsidwa kwa Tianhong ndi kuyambiranso kwa HSBC, mphamvu yatsopano yopangira idzatulutsidwa kwambiri, ndipo zoyenga zina za m'deralo zikuyembekezeka kuyambiranso, ndipo zoperekazo zikhoza kuchira;Chachitatu, zochitika zaumoyo wa anthu zinkachitika kawirikawiri m'madera akuluakulu opanga propylene, zomwe zinkakhudza kwambiri kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe kake.Ndikoyenera kumvetsera kwambiri kusintha kwazinthu.Kuchokera pamalingaliro ofunikira, idalowa munyengo yochepetsetsa ya nyengo, ndipo kutsika ndi kufunikira kwa polypropylene kwacheperachepera, zomwe mwachiwonekere zachepetsa kufunikira kwa propylene;Pansi pamakampani opanga mankhwala, zomera zina za propylene oxide ndi acrylic acid zikuyembekezeka kupangidwa.Ngati ayikidwa pakupanga monga momwe adakonzera, kufunikira kwa propylene kudzakulitsidwa.Jinlianchuang akuyembekeza kuti masewera operekera ndi kufunikira kwa msika wa propylene achuluke mu Novembala, ndipo ntchitoyi idzayendetsedwa ndi kugwedezeka kofooka.
Phenol: Msika wa phenol wapakhomo unafooka pamlingo wapamwamba mu October, ndipo kusinthasintha kwa msika kunakhudzidwa ndi mpweya wa mphamvu, mbali yamtengo wapatali ndi chitsanzo cha zopereka ndi zofunikira.Patchuthichi, mafuta amafuta ndi mphamvu ndi mankhwala padziko lonse lapansi nthawi zambiri anali amphamvu, ndipo msika wamankhwala udali wabwino.Pambuyo pa tchuthi, mtengo womwe watchulidwa wa Sinopec pure benzene udakwezedwa.Poganizira za kuchepa kosalekeza kwa katundu wogulitsidwa, opanga ma phenol akuluakulu amapereka mitengo yokwera, ndipo msika udakwera mwachangu m'kanthawi kochepa.Komabe, nthawi yomweyo mtengo wamafuta amafuta udapitilirabe kutsika, ndipo gawo lamakampani opanga mphamvu ndi mankhwala lidakumana ndi zovuta.Mtengo wamndandanda wa benzene ya Sinopec udatsika kangapo pamwezi, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti msika ukhale wovuta kwambiri.Zinali zovuta kuti opanga kumunsi azitha kuyamwa kuchuluka kwa zinthu zopangira, ndipo msika wamagetsi udachepa kwambiri.Makamaka, masiku apakati ndi kumapeto kwa masiku khumi a chaka adalowa munyengo yanthawi yayitali, ndipo maoda atsopano omaliza sanali abwino.Kusabereka bwino kwa zomera za kumunsi kwa phenol kunapangitsa kuti pakhale kuchulukirachulukira kwazinthu zopangira zinthu komanso kuchepa kwakukulu kwa kufunikira kwa zopangira.Poganizira kusowa kwa chithandizo chamtengo wapatali, malingaliro a msika wa bisphenol A sali okwera, makampani ali ndi chiyembekezo chamsika wam'tsogolo, ndipo malonda ndi ndalama zikukhala zofooka komanso zotayika.Komabe, zowerengera zapadoko zidakhalabe zotsika, kubwezeredwa padoko kunali kocheperako kuposa momwe amayembekezera, ndipo kuchuluka kwa magwiridwe antchito am'nyumba za phenol ketone sikunali kokwezeka, ndipo malo olimba amathandizira kusungirako mtengo.Pofika pa Okutobala 27, msika wa phenol ku East China udakambirana mozungulira 10,300 yuan/tani, kutsika 550-600 yuan/tani mwezi pamwezi kuyambira Seputembala 26.
Msika wa phenol wapakhomo ukuyembekezeka kukhala wofooka komanso wosasunthika mu Novembala.Poganizira za kufowoka kwa mbali yamtengo wapatali komanso kuvutikira kwa kuwongolera kufunikira kwanthawi yayitali, kubwezeredwa kwa msika kulibe mphamvu, ndipo mawonekedwe ofooka ndi kufunikira kwawo kungapitirire.Mphamvu yatsopano yopangira phenol ya Wanhua ku China ikuyembekezeka kugwiritsidwa ntchito mu Novembala chaka chino, ndikuwonjezera kudikirira kwamakampani.Komabe, mabizinesi opanga ma phenol ali ndi chidwi chochepa chochepetsera mitengo, ndipo malo otsika amadoko amakhalanso ndi chithandizo.Popanda kukulitsa kutsutsana pakati pa kupezeka ndi kufunikira, pali malo ochepa otsika mtengo mosalekeza.Mphamvu yopangira bisphenol A yotsika ndikupitilira kukula, ndipo zolepheretsa kuchokera kumbali yofunikira zitha kuchepetsedwa.Zikuyembekezeka kuti mtengo wa phenol udzasintha pang'ono mu Novembala, chifukwa chake ndikofunikira kulabadira kutsatiridwa kwa nkhani zazikulu, mbali yamtengo, msika wotsiriza ndi mabizinesi akumunsi.
Acetone: Mu Okutobala, msika wa acetone udadzuka koyamba ndikugwa, kuwonetsa mayendedwe a V.Pofika kumapeto kwa mwezi uno, mtengo wamsika ku East China unali utakwera yuan 100/ton kufika pa 5650 yuan/ton poyerekeza ndi kumapeto kwa mwezi watha.Chifukwa chamafuta amphamvu padziko lonse lapansi patchuthi cha Tsiku Ladziko Lonse, zopangira zoyera benzene zidakwera kwambiri, ndipo msika wa acetone udatseguka pambuyo pa tchuthi.Makamaka, malo ogulitsa adapitilirabe kukhala olimba.Ogulitsa katunduyo nthawi zambiri sankafuna kugulitsa pamtengo wotsika, ndipo ankawoneka ngati ali m'mlengalenga.Msikawu udakwera mwachangu kufika pa 6200 yuan/ton.Komabe, pambuyo pa mtengo wapamwamba, kutsata kumunsi kwamtsinje kunali kofooka.Amalonda ena anasankha kutenga phindu, ndipo zolinga zawo zotumizira zinawonjezeka.Msikawo unagwa pang'ono, koma pamene chiwerengero cha doko chinapitirizabe kuchepa, Pakati pa chaka, malingaliro a msika anapitirizabe kusintha, mitengo yamakampani inakwera motsatizana, ndipo msika wa acetone umasonyeza ntchito yamphamvu.Kuyambira kumapeto kwa tsiku, msika udayamba kuchepa.Misika yakumunsi ya bisphenol A ndi isopropanol idapitilira kugwa, ndipo chidaliro cha mabizinesi ena chidayamba kutayikira.Kuwonjezera apo, zombo zofika padoko zinatsitsidwa motsatizanatsatizana.Mkhalidwe wovuta wa kupezeka kwa malo unachepetsedwa, kufunikira kwa mtsinje kunatsika, ndipo msika unatsika pang'onopang'ono.
Zikuyembekezeka kuti msika wa acetone udzakhala wofooka mu Novembala.Ngakhale kuti 650000 t / a phenol ndi ketone chomera cha Ningbo Taihua chayamba kusinthidwa, chomera cha 300000 t / a phenol ndi ketone ku Changshu Changchun chikukonzekera kuyambiranso pakati pa November, ndipo chomera cha phenol ndi ketone chili ndi phindu labwino.Pali mwayi woti uwongolere zinthu zapakhomo.Zogulitsa zambiri zapansi panthaka zikadali zofooka.Zolinga zogulira m'munsi ndizosamala.Nthawi zambiri, zikuyembekezeka kuti msika wa acetone utsika bwino mu Novembala.
Bisphenol A: M'mwezi wa Okutobala, msika wapakhomo wa bisphenol A udayamba kugwa kenako ndi kuwuka.Kumayambiriro kwa mwezi, chifukwa cha kuwonjezeka kwa katundu wa fakitale panthawi ya tchuthi, msika unali wokhazikika komanso wofooka.Mtima wodikira ndi wolemetsa.Pakati pa mwezi uno, Zhejiang Petrochemical adachita malonda ogulitsa positi, ndipo mtengowo udapitilira kutsika, zomwe zidasokoneza msika wa bisphenol A.Pambuyo pa chikondwererochi, katundu wa Sinopec Mitsui unit adakula pambuyo poyambiranso, ndipo katundu wa Pingmei Shenma unit adakula.Pambuyo pa chikondwererochi, kuchuluka kwa ntchito zamakampani a bisphenol A kudakula, ndipo zoperekera zikuyembekezeka kuwonjezeka.Kuonjezera apo, pambuyo pa chikondwererochi, mtengo wa phenol unakwera pang'ono, kusonyeza kutsika.PC yotsika ndi utomoni wa epoxy udapitilira kuchepa, zomwe zidakhudzanso bisphenol A, makamaka kugwa pakati pa mwezi.Kumapeto kwa mweziwo, pambuyo pomaliza kubwezeretsanso kunsi kwa mtsinje, chidwi chogula chinachepa, ndipo mgwirizano watsopano unayamba kumapeto kwa mweziwo.Mtsinjewo makamaka ankadya makontrakitala.Kubweza kwa malamulo atsopano kunali kosakwanira, ndipo kukwera kwa BPA kuthamangira kunali kosakwanira, ndipo mtengo unayamba kubwereranso.Pofika tsiku lomaliza, zokambirana za msika waku East China bisphenol A zinali pafupifupi 16300-16500 yuan/ton, ndipo mtengo wapakati pa sabata udakwera 12.94% mwezi pamwezi.
Zikuyembekezeka kuti msika wapakhomo wa bisphenol A upitilira kutsika mu Novembala.Thandizo la zopangira phenol ketone za bisphenol A ndizochepa.Kukhudzidwa ndi kuchepa kwakukulu pamsika mu Okutobala, msika wa bearish wazinthu zopangira umawerengera ambiri, ndipo palibe uthenga wabwino wothandizira msika.Msika ndi wofooka, ndipo mwayi wosintha ndi waukulu.Samalirani kwambiri kusintha kwa kagawidwe ndi kufunikira.

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